✉️ The RVA Weather Brief

Newsletter archive

Every issue of the Brief — hyperlocal Richmond forecasts, severe weather coverage and community observations, published Tue, Thu & Sun.

75 issues · May 2026 – present

All issues

Thu, Nov 5, 2026 The Rain Arrives Tonight, Then a Cool, Dry Weekend Reset The November 5, 2026 RVA Weather Brief: a stalled cold front brings widespread heavy rain tonight through Friday to metro Richmond — up to 1 inch in the metro, 1-2 inches east, locally 3 inches or more in southeast Virginia — with a localized flash flood threat, then a dry, seasonably cool weekend with highs in the low to mid 60s. heavy-rain Tue, Nov 3, 2026 Near 80 Wednesday, Then the Rain Finally Arrives Thursday Night The November 3, 2026 RVA Weather Brief: metro Richmond peaks near 80 Wednesday after morning fog, stays warm Thursday, then a moisture-loaded cold front brings widespread rain Thursday night-Friday totaling 0.50-1.50 inches, locally over 2 inches on the Northern Neck and Eastern Shore, before a pleasant, drier weekend. heavy-rain Sun, Nov 1, 2026 Dry and Warming All Week: Mid-60s Monday to Near 80 Wednesday The November 1, 2026 RVA Weather Brief: dry weather continues through Wednesday across metro Richmond as a building ridge warms highs from the mid 60s Monday to the mid to upper 70s Wednesday, approaching 80 in interior southern Virginia, with lows moderating from the 40s to around 60 and no frost or freeze in the forecast. A low-confidence chance of scattered showers returns Thursday-Friday, and no tropical formation is expected in the next 7 days. drought Thu, Oct 29, 2026 One More Warm Day Friday Near 80, Then a Dry, Seasonable Halloween Weekend The October 29, 2026 RVA Weather Brief: Friday runs warm and sunny with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s in metro Richmond as a cold front's cool air lags until evening, then Halloween weekend turns dry and seasonable in the 60s with trick-or-treat temperatures in the 50s to near 60. Rain chances fade into next week as Virginia's drought expands, and no tropical formation is expected in the next 7 days. drought Tue, Oct 27, 2026 Cloudy Start Wednesday, Then Mid-to-Upper 70s: Richmond's Dry Warm-Up The October 27, 2026 RVA Weather Brief: Wednesday starts with low clouds and patchy fog along and west of I-95 while the coast and Delmarva see sunshine near 70°, then high pressure anchored offshore warms Richmond dry into the mid to upper 70s Thursday and Friday. Dry through Saturday with a dry, mild Halloween, the first rain chance slowed to late Sunday into Monday, and no tropical formation expected in the next 7 days. drought Sun, Oct 25, 2026 Frost at Dawn, 70s by Tuesday: Richmond's Dry Rebound Frost Advisory Mon 2-9 AM in the Piedmont, mid 30s at dawn, then sunny & dry: upper 60s Mon, low 70s Tue, upper 60s Wed. No rain expected. frost Tue, Oct 20, 2026 Fall Days, Flood Tides: 93L Could Become Josephine Off Our Coast 93L could briefly become Josephine; sunny 60s inland all week, coastal flooding through Wed night, frost-threat nights Thu/Fri. flood Sun, Oct 18, 2026 Fall Days, Flood Tides: The Nor'easter That Won't Leave Coastal Flood Watch Mon–Wed: offshore nor'easter pushes tides 1–3 ft high; metro stays sunny and breezy in the mid-60s. Full brief inside. flood Thu, Oct 15, 2026 The Same Storm That Brings 90° Delivers Sunday's Frost Friday chases Richmond's latest-ever 90° (record 90°, 1897) — then a gusty front plunges us to Sunday-morning frost in the Piedmont. Full brief inside. record-heat Tue, Oct 13, 2026 RVA's Wild October Temperature Rollercoaster Record 90°F heat hits RVA Wednesday! A major cold front brings Friday showers and a weekend plunge into the 30s with frost risks. Prepare for the shock! RVA cold front weekend frost forecast Sun, Oct 11, 2026 Tornado Watch Until 8 PM Tonight — Then 90° Wednesday, Possible Frost Next Weekend Tornado watch til 8 PM tonight — then a wild ride: near-90 Wednesday, possible first frost next weekend. Details inside. tornado watchIsaias Thu, Oct 8, 2026 1–2" Sunday Soaker: Isaias' Remnants Head for RVA Perfect fall weekend first — then Isaias soaks RVA Sunday: 1–2 inches of rain (2–4 near the coast), 30 mph gusts. Dry Friday–Saturday, highs in the 70s. Hurricane Isaias remnants Virginia Sunday rain Tue, Oct 6, 2026 High Pressure Delivers Pristine Autumn Skies Before Weekend Rain Returns High pressure brings gorgeous sunshine, crisp mornings in the 40s, and a warming trend into the 80s before weekend rain returns to RVA! Pristine Fall Conditions & Marine Calm Sun, Oct 4, 2026 Cool, Damp Weekend Weather Clears Out Tonight, Opening the Door to a Seasonable, Sunny Work Week Weekend drizzle clears out tonight! Expect a gorgeous, sunny work week in RVA with dry weather and seasonable highs in the 70s. The Tranquil Fall Work Week Thu, Oct 1, 2026 Cold Front Brings Weekend Rain and Fall Chill Warm 80-degree weather wraps up Friday before a weekend cold front brings cooler 60s, cloudy skies, and rain chances to RVA. Enjoy the warmth! Weekend Cold Front & Rain Chances Tue, Sep 29, 2026 From Nor'easter Recovery to Late-September Summer Heat High pressure brings a warm, sunny mid-week to RVA with highs hitting the upper 80s! Enjoy the dry weather before weekend rain chances return. The Mid-Week Warming Trend Sun, Sep 27, 2026 Sunshine, Drier Air, and a Big Warming Trend Hit RVA The Nor'easter is gone! Expect brilliant sunshine, diminishing winds, and a major warming trend pushing temperatures toward the upper 80s this week. The Late-September Warming Trend Thu, Sep 24, 2026 Tracking the Nor'easter: Coastal Flooding, Chilly Air, and Weekend Clearing A potent coastal storm brings major tidal flooding, gale-force winds, and raw chill to RVA. Conditions clear out nicely for a sunny, milder weekend! Cold Air DammingNor'easter Dynamics Tue, Sep 22, 2026 Raw Coastal Storm Locks In: Heavy Rain, Gale Winds, and Tidal Flooding Hit RVA A major coastal storm hits RVA! Expect persistent heavy rain, flash flood risks, gale-force winds, tidal flooding, and a sharp cool-down into the 60s. Stay safe! rain Sun, Sep 20, 2026 Major Pattern Flip: Wet, Windy, and Much Cooler Weather Looms for RVA A major pattern flip is coming! Warm Monday gives way to a wet, windy, and much cooler mid-week driven by a coastal low. Prepare for heavy rain and tides! major pattern flip Thu, Sep 17, 2026 Warmth Peaks Today Before an Early Friday Cold Front Brings Weekend Relief Warm highs near 90°F today give way to a fast cold front early Friday. Expect light showers and a refreshing, comfortable weekend across RVA! warmth Tue, Sep 15, 2026 Fall Preview: Crisp Skies, 50-Degree Lows, and Low Humidity Take Over RVA Enjoy a stunning fall preview! High pressure brings clear blue skies, low humidity, comfortable 80° highs, and crisp 50° nights. Open those windows! fall Sun, Sep 13, 2026 Cold Front Clears Out the Rain and Brings Crisp Autumn Air to Central Virginia Humidity is finally clearing out! High pressure brings gorgeous, crisp weather with 50-degree nights and pleasant 80-degree days all week. Enjoy! crisp air Thu, Sep 10, 2026 Tracking Tonight's Storms: The Stalled Front and Soggy Weekend Ahead Temps hit the 90s today before a front stalls overhead. Get ready for a humid, unsettled weekend with daily storm chances and heavy rain risks. Stay dry! heatwave Tue, Sep 8, 2026 One More Crisp Night Before Midweek Warm-Up and Late-Week Storms Enjoy one more crisp night with 50-degree lows! Summer makes a brief return with 90s on Thursday before late-week storms arrive. Stay tuned! fall weather Sun, Sep 6, 2026 Goodbye Heat Dome, Hello Windows Open: Your Labor Day Weather Brief Enjoy a gorgeous Labor Day! High pressure brings low humidity, crisp night air, and pleasant highs in the low 80s across RVA. Turn off that AC! fall-likelower dew points Thu, Sep 3, 2026 Crushing Heat Before the Fall: Tracking Friday's Storms and Weekend Relief Peak heat hits today with temps near 98°F and high heat indices! Relief arrives with Friday's cold front, bringing a gorgeous, crisp weekend. Stay cool! heatwave Tue, Sep 1, 2026 Bake or Break: RVA Toasts Under Record-Challenging Heat Before Weekend Relief Full-blown heatwave is here! RVA temps soar into the mid-to-upper 90s with heat indices near 105°F through Thursday. Stay cool and hydrated! Sun, Aug 30, 2026 The Heat Dome Builds: What to Expect from This Week's RVA Warm-Up A major late-summer heatwave is locking in! Temperatures soar into the mid-90s with heat indices topping 100°F this week. Stay cool and hydrated, RVA! heatwave Thu, Aug 27, 2026 Tracking the Transition: Weekend Rain Chasers and Early-Week Heat Ridges Isolated storms today lead to a muggy weekend with scattered rain. Then, get ready for a significant heatwave pushing temps back into the 90s next week! heatwavesummer Sun, Aug 23, 2026 Breathe Easy, RVA: Pristine Skies and Lower Humidity Are Here Storms are out, fresh air is in! Enjoy crystal clear skies, lower humidity, and completely dry conditions across RVA through Wednesday afternoon. Thu, Aug 20, 2026 Active Severe Weather Threat Today Before Prolonged Wet Weekend Pattern Severe storms expected in RVA this evening; heavy rain continues through Saturday. severe weatherrainweekend Tue, Aug 18, 2026 From Humid Storms to Midweek Relief Humidity levels are currently high enough to slice with a butter knife, but hey, free facial steam! heatwavemidweek Sun, Aug 16, 2026 Tropical Moisture Sparks Severe Storms Today Followed by Extreme Heat Monday Severe storms with damaging winds and heavy rain are on tap for late this afternoon and evening. Prep your yard, dodge the evening commute, and stay weather-aware! severe weatherheatwavetropical moisture Thu, Aug 13, 2026 Heat and Humidity Hold Steady Today—Rain Chances Tick Up Friday Enjoy a mostly dry, warm Thursday in Richmond with highs near 90. Scattered storms return Friday afternoon before cooler weather arrives Saturday. heat wavehigh humiditysevere weather Tue, Aug 11, 2026 Heat, Humidity, and Pop-Up Storms: Navigating Richmond's Summer Pattern Thick humidity and lower 90s heat are driving a 30% chance of pop-up afternoon and evening thunderstorms across Metro Richmond today as an unsettled mid-summer pattern takes hold. heatwavesummer vibessevere weather Sun, Aug 9, 2026 Stagnant Summer Pattern Settles In Across Central Virginia Our air conditioners are officially filing for hazard pay as mid-90s temperatures and thick humidity dominate RVA. summer heat Thu, Aug 6, 2026 Classic Summer Rhythm Continues: What to Expect from Evening Storms and Weekend Heat Warm, humid wx continues through the weekend with scattered pop-up storms and heat indices near 100°F+. Hotter temps ahead for early next week! summer patternrainheat Tue, Aug 4, 2026 Heavy Evening Downpours & Flood Threats Before Midweek Heat Surges Back Flash flood threat south of I-64 tonight before rain chances drop. Heat and humidity return Thursday through Sunday with heat indices topping 100°F. Sun, Aug 2, 2026 Wet Week Ahead: Daily Storms Give Way to Weekend Heat Spike in Richmond RVA Weather Brief: Daily storms & high humidity start today, with widespread rain Mon-Wed. Sun & 100° heat indices return by late week! 🌩️☀️ Thu, Jul 30, 2026 Enjoy the Break: Richmond's Dry Stretch Ends with Tropical Downpours Sunday Nice late-July weather holds through Saturday in RVA with pleasant humidity. Heavy rain & localized flash flood risks return Sunday & Monday. pleasantweekend Tue, Jul 28, 2026 Batten Down the Hatches: Severe Storms Tonight, Autumn-Like Chill Ahead Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10 PM for VA & Eastern Shore. Expect damaging winds, hail, and a brief tornado threat before a cool, dry weekend breeze arrives. severe weather Sun, Jul 26, 2026 Tracking the Skies: Late-Night Storms Tonight, Severe Risk Ahead for Tuesday Mid-Atlantic weather update: Mild storms tonight & Monday lead into a severe threat Tuesday with damaging winds and hail. Dry weather returns by Thursday! severe weather Thu, Jul 23, 2026 A Break in the Pattern: Cool 70s and Drier Skies Headed Our Way Flood Watch ended for Hampton Roads, but active for NE NC through midnight. Enjoy cooler, drier air this weekend with temps in the 70s & 80s! ☀️ Tue, Jul 21, 2026 Mid-Atlantic Weather Alert: Severe Storms & Rising Flood Risks Through Thursday Severe storms bringing damaging winds and flash flooding threaten VA, MD, and NC through Thursday. Up to 3–5"+ of rain expected before a drier weekend. flash floodingexcessive rainfallsevere weather Sun, Jul 19, 2026 Active Week Ahead: From Severe Storm Threats to a Late-Week Cold Front Severe Storm Watch tonight south of I-64. An active, stormy week ahead transitions to beautifully cool, below-seasonable weather by Friday. Stay weather-aware! severe weather Thu, Jul 16, 2026 Smoky, Sweaty, and Stormy: Navigating This Weekend's Wild Weather Rollercoaster Smoke brings poor air quality Friday, followed by blistering 105°F+ heat Saturday and severe weekend storms. Get the full breakdown and stay safe! wildfireheatwavesevere weather Tue, Jul 14, 2026 Triple-Digit Heat is Here: Advisories Issued + A Stormy Weekend Outlook Heat Advisories are active as triple-digit heat indices hit VA/MD. Cool off mid-week, because a humid, stormier weekend is on the way. Details inside! heatwavesevere weather Sun, Jul 12, 2026 From Raincoats to AC Units: Localized Flooding Precedes a Major Mid-Week Heatwave A Flood Watch is active tonight south of I-64 with 3–5” of rain possible. Expect coastal flooding, a cool Monday, and a major 95°F heatwave later this week. rainfallheatwave Thu, Jul 9, 2026 Watch Active North Tonight; Tracking Friday's Downsloping Heat & Saturday's Front Severe Thunderstorm Watch north of I-64 tonight. Hotter Friday with isolated storms, a widespread soaking Saturday, and a gorgeous, low-humidity Sunday reset. thunderstorms Tue, Jul 7, 2026 I-64 Corridor Braces for Heavy Rain Tonight; Level 1 Severe Risk Eyed for Thursday Flood Watch tonight for VA/NC with 3–6" of rain possible. Near-normal temps this week, but keep an eye on Thursday for a Level 1 severe storm risk. flood watch Sun, Jul 5, 2026 Heat wave ends Monday, but a major flash flood threat takes its place The extreme heat breaks on Monday as a Level 2/4 excessive rainfall outlook brings severe storm risks and localized flash flooding of up to 4 inches. heatwave Thu, Jul 2, 2026 Historic Heat Wave Grips Virginia with 110°F+ Heat Indices Through Saturday Historic Heat Wave Grips Virginia with 110°F+ Heat Indices Through Saturday heatwave Tue, Jun 30, 2026 The Heat Dome Cometh: Three Days of 100-Degree Temps on the Horizon A historic heat wave brings 100°F+ temps and 110°F heat indices this weekend. Read the full timeline, expanded advisories, and when relief finally arrives. heatwave Sun, Jun 28, 2026 Clear Skies Early Week Before Triple-Digit Holiday Heat Matrix Enjoy a comfortable, dry start to the week before a massive upper-level ridge locks in a blistering pre-holiday heatwave with triple-digit temps. sundayforecastheat Sat, Jun 27, 2026 We’re moving! (And you don’t have to do a single thing) The RVA Weather Brief is moving from Substack to rvaweather.net/newsletter. Current subscribers will be transitioned automatically—there is nothing you ne Thu, Jun 25, 2026 Summertime Pattern Brings Triple-Digit Heat Indices and Weekend Storms Summer heat arrives Friday, peaking Saturday with 105°F heat indices and stormy skies. Enjoy a brief, less-humid breather on Monday before a major heat wav Thu, Jun 18, 2026 Vacation Mode On Need a quick reset! Regular forecasts, videos & Substack posts are paused June 18-23 for summer vacation. Back with fresh energy June 24! Thanks for your suppor Tue, Jun 16, 2026 Heat, Storms, then a Stellar Weekend Hotter Thursday temps (95+) and 100+ heat indices precede Thursday night storms with damaging wind risks. Rain clears Friday morning for a perfect weekend! Sun, Jun 14, 2026 Storms Tonight, Splendid Tomorrow: Your Early-Week Weather Reset Severe storms threaten through 9 PM tonight, followed by a beautiful, low-humidity Monday. Heat and severe weather return by Thursday. Stay weather-aware! Thu, Jun 11, 2026 Plan Your Weekend: Why Saturday is Your Only Window to Escape the Storms and Heat Friday brings 105°F heat & severe storms. Saturday is a perfect, dry breather before Sunday resets the humidity and storm threats. Tue, Jun 9, 2026 The Big Sweat: Triple-Digit RealFeel is on the Way Big weather changes ahead: A humid Wednesday brings storm risks before Thursday & Friday bake in 105°F heat indices. A Saturday front brings weekend relief Sun, Jun 7, 2026 Sunday Night Storms Usher in a Striking Cool-Down (Before the 90s Roar Back) A backdoor front brings fire danger and storms tonight, a crisp 60s/70s cool-down Mon/Tue, and an intense return to the upper 90s by late week. Thu, Jun 4, 2026 Beat the Heat: Why This Weekend's 90-Degree Forecast Won't Feel Like Summer (Yet) Heat cranks into the 90s this weekend before a cold front brings isolated severe storms Sunday and a beautiful, crisp cool-down early next week. Tue, Jun 2, 2026 Tonight's Surprise Deep Chill (And the 90s Waiting on the Other Side) From a 40°F autumn chill tonight to a 90°F summer surge this weekend, here is your breakdown of a wild June weather turnaround, plus marine and aviati Sun, May 31, 2026 Cooler Air, Coastal Winds, and Rain Chances: Your Weekly RVA Weather Brief Enjoy a pleasant Sunday before a Monday cold front brings rain chances SE. Cool mid-week winds flag minor tidal flooding risks ahead of a late-week warm-up. Thu, May 28, 2026 Goodbye Humidity: A Picture-Perfect Weekend is Headed Our Way Humidity drops and beautiful weather arrives! Expect dry skies, highs near 80°, and crisp 50° nights through next week. Boaters: watch the weekend win Tue, May 26, 2026 Mid-Atlantic Weather Update: Heavy Rain Tonight, Severe Storm Risk Wednesday Mid-Atlantic weather reset: Heavy rain tonight, severe storms/damaging winds Wed (3-10 PM). A strong cold front clears the air for a perfect, dry weekend. Sun, May 24, 2026 Needed Rain is on the Way: Tracking This Week's Thunderstorm Potential A stubborn weather wedge clears out tonight, sparking daily heavy rain & storms through midweek. Expect high humidity before a cold front on Friday brings relie Thu, May 21, 2026 Inside the "Washing Machine": Cold Front Flips the Holiday Weekend Script A chilly holiday weekend "wedge" brings rain chances daily through Memorial Day, offering 1–2.5" of drought relief alongside hazardous beach conditions. Tue, May 19, 2026 From Record Heat to Holiday Chill: The Massive Weather Flip Heading Our Way Near-record heat (mid-90s) breaks tomorrow night with localized severe storm risks, paving the way for a much cooler, damp, and unsettled holiday weekend. Sun, May 17, 2026 Summer’s Sneak Peek: Low 90s, Isolated Storm Chances, and a Memorial Day Weekend Shakeup Mid-Atlantic weather update: Low-90s heat kicks off the week with isolated storm chances, followed by a major cooldown and drizzle for Memorial Day Weekend. Thu, May 14, 2026 Weather U-Turn: Massive Ridge to Bring Summer Heat and Dry Skies Chilly tonight with lows in the 40s, but a massive warm-up is coming! Highs hit the 90s by Monday with record heat possible. Get the full timing here. Tue, May 12, 2026 Atmospheric Whiplash: Why You’ll Need a Jacket Thursday and a Fan Sunday Mid-Atlantic Weather: A calm Tuesday leads to a breezy Wednesday and a chilly Thursday. But get ready—90-degree heat returns in a major weekend warm-up! Sun, May 10, 2026 Mother’s Day Heat Wave: Mid-80s Today Before Monday’s Cold Front Mother’s Day hits the mid-80s today! A cold front brings showers and 60-degree temps on Monday. Another rain chance arrives late Wednesday. Enjoy the sun